Markets
Every live market with real-time odds — filter by category, sort by volume or liquidity. Click any market for odds history, order book and top holders.
124 markets
Fed Decision in September?
EconomicsFed & Rates
No change59¢
25 bps increase41¢
25 bps decrease1¢
$1.82M 24h$25.9M total$2.58M liq
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 11?
EconomicsMarkets38m
70.8¢
Down99¢
Up1¢
$65.5K 24h$65.6K total$9.1K liq
July Inflation US - Annual
EconomicsMacro9h
3.4%40¢
3.3%34¢
3.5%16¢
$37.2K 24h$461K total$108K liq
July Inflation US - Monthly
EconomicsMacro9h
≥0.1%72¢
0.0%25¢
-0.1%5¢
$35.7K 24h$179K total$29.1K liq
Fed rate hike in 2026?
EconomicsFed & Rates
Yes59¢
No42¢
$15.6K 24h$7.08M total$199K liq
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on August 11?
EconomicsMarkets38m
6.5¢
Yes78¢
No22¢
$14.2K 24h$14.2K total$779 liq
Core CPI YoY - July 2026
EconomicsMacro9h
2.4%45¢
2.5%44¢
2.6%5¢
$13.1K 24h$88.0K total$50.4K liq
Core CPI MoM - July 2026
EconomicsMacro9h
0.2%54¢
0.1%30¢
0.3%9¢
$12.6K 24h$133K total$39.9K liq
Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
EconomicsFed & Rates
Pause–Pause–Pause60¢
Other40¢
Pause–Pause–Cut1¢
$12.5K 24h$656K total$61.7K liq
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
EconomicsFed & Rates
1.5¢
No93¢
Yes8¢
$7.0K 24h$130K total$20.0K liq
Fed Decision in December?
EconomicsFed & Rates
No change59¢
25 bps increase33¢
25 bps decrease9¢
$4.5K 24h$94.6K total$425K liq
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
EconomicsFed & Rates
1.5¢
No59¢
Yes42¢
$3.9K 24h$757K total$81.0K liq
Brazil GDP Growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?
EconomicsMacro
0.3%–0.5%59¢
0.6%–0.8%22¢
$3.1K 24h$23.2K total$3.7K liq
Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on August 11?
EconomicsMarkets38m
56.5¢
Down97¢
Up3¢
$3.0K 24h$3.0K total$143 liq
Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026
EconomicsMacro
3.1%+60¢
2.8-3.0%17¢
2.5–2.7%7¢
$2.4K 24h$76.9K total$34.8K liq
F
Fed Decision in October?
EconomicsFed & Rates
No change68¢
25 bps increase25¢
25 bps decrease7¢
$2.3K 24h$553K total$444K liq
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $765 Week of August 10 2026?
EconomicsMarkets3d
0.5¢
No52¢
Yes48¢
$2.1K 24h$3.8K total$1.3K liq
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
EconomicsMacro
0.5¢
No88¢
Yes12¢
$1.8K 24h$304K total$12.9K liq
U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
EconomicsMacro
3.5–3.9%26¢
2.0–2.4%4¢
1.0–1.4%2¢
$1.7K 24h$24.6K total$4.8K liq
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on August 11?
EconomicsMarkets38m
40.9¢
No99¢
Yes1¢
$1.7K 24h$1.7K total$910 liq
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $795 Week of August 10 2026?
EconomicsMarkets3d
2.9¢
No96¢
Yes4¢
$1.6K 24h$2.2K total$4.8K liq
C
Canada GDP: June 2026 (MoM)
EconomicsMacro
0.2-0.3%66¢
0.0-0.1%19¢
0.4-0.5%10¢
$1.6K 24h$11.2K total$8.1K liq
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in August?
EconomicsMarkets
3.3¢
No63¢
Yes37¢
$1.5K 24h$15.6K total$936 liq
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of August 10 2026?
EconomicsMarkets3d
2.2¢
No93¢
Yes7¢
$1.3K 24h$2.3K total$658 liq
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $785 on August 11?
EconomicsMarkets38m
0.9¢
No97¢
Yes3¢
$1.2K 24h$1.3K total$1.2K liq
H
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
EconomicsFed & Rates
0 (0 bps)43¢
1 (25 bps)37¢
2 (50 bps)16¢
$1.2K 24h$139K total$63.0K liq
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $805 Week of August 10 2026?
EconomicsMarkets3d
1.0¢
No99¢
Yes1¢
$1.2K 24h$1.2K total$9.0K liq
August Unemployment Rate
EconomicsMacro
4.1%31¢
4.2%27¢
4.3%26¢
$1.1K 24h$6.8K total$2.8K liq
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of August 10 2026?
EconomicsMarkets3d
4.0¢
No88¢
Yes12¢
$1.1K 24h$1.6K total$621 liq
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on August 11?
EconomicsMarkets38m
4.0¢
Yes90¢
No10¢
$1.0K 24h$1.0K total$1.3K liq
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on August 11?
EconomicsMarkets38m
3.8¢
No99¢
Yes1¢
$1.0K 24h$1.0K total$790 liq
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $785 Week of August 10 2026?
EconomicsMarkets3d
7.5¢
No90¢
Yes11¢
$1.0K 24h$1.6K total$4.1K liq
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 in August?
EconomicsMarkets
No97¢
Yes3¢
$964 24h$7.0K total$3.2K liq
A
Argentina Monthly Inflation - July
EconomicsMacro45h
1.8-2.0%66¢
2.1-2.3%30¢
1.2-1.4%1¢
$945 24h$18.3K total$7.2K liq
Fed Decision in January?
EconomicsFed & Rates
No change62¢
25 bps increase25¢
25 bps decrease10¢
$922 24h$17.5K total$274K liq
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 Week of August 10 2026?
EconomicsMarkets3d
8.0¢
No96¢
Yes5¢
$903 24h$1.2K total$537 liq
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in August?
EconomicsMarkets
5.9¢
No86¢
Yes14¢
$898 24h$5.7K total$1.4K liq
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of August 10 2026?
EconomicsMarkets3d
6.5¢
No74¢
Yes26¢
$881 24h$2.7K total$741 liq
Central Bank of Colombia decision in September
EconomicsFed & Rates
No change80¢
50+ bps increase10¢
25 bps increase8¢
$862 24h$20.4K total$4.4K liq
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in August?
EconomicsMarkets
4.5¢
Yes69¢
No31¢
$855 24h$11.0K total$1.3K liq
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?
EconomicsFed & Rates
3.8¢
No93¢
Yes7¢
$805 24h$31.4K total$7.5K liq
Japan GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?
EconomicsMacro
0.0%–0.8%35¢
0.8%–1.6%29¢
1.6%–2.4%20¢
$799 24h$32.4K total$2.1K liq
UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?
EconomicsMacro5h
0.4–0.5%59¢
0.2–0.3%28¢
0.0–0.1%16¢
$781 24h$33.6K total$4.1K liq
G
Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026?
EconomicsMacro
1.0-1.2%37¢
0.7-0.9%32¢
0.4-0.6%13¢
$769 24h$21.5K total$9.9K liq
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in August?
EconomicsMarkets
No87¢
Yes14¢
$677 24h$9.9K total$5.7K liq
South Africa Annual Inflation 2026
EconomicsMacro
4.1-4.4%30¢
>5.0%9¢
2.9-3.2%3¢
$635 24h$14.9K total$4.7K liq
Canada Annual Inflation 2026
EconomicsMacro
2.5–2.9%39¢
3.5-3.9%13¢
1.0–1.4%5¢
$628 24h$18.7K total$11.0K liq
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in August?
EconomicsMarkets
0.5¢
No94¢
Yes6¢
$600 24h$3.8K total$3.2K liq
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $680 in August?
EconomicsMarkets
No97¢
Yes3¢
$597 24h$4.0K total$2.4K liq
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of August 10 2026?
EconomicsMarkets3d
1.0¢
No70¢
Yes31¢
$582 24h$3.6K total$452 liq
Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)
EconomicsFed & Rates
Other48¢
Pause–Pause–Pause43¢
Pause–Pause–Cut3¢
$540 24h$624K total$99.8K liq
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?
EconomicsMacro
No80¢
Yes21¢
$539 24h$144K total$7.7K liq
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?
EconomicsMacro
No97¢
Yes3¢
$483 24h$58.0K total$14.2K liq
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 Week of August 10 2026?
EconomicsMarkets3d
20.5¢
Yes98¢
No2¢
$457 24h$1.3K total$524 liq
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?
EconomicsMarkets
No96¢
Yes4¢
$435 24h$53.9K total$4.8K liq
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?
EconomicsMarkets
1.0¢
Yes67¢
No34¢
$430 24h$185K total$17.2K liq
Japan Core CPI YoY in 2026
EconomicsMacro
≤1.9%50¢
2.5-2.9%1¢
3.0-3.4%1¢
$429 24h$24.0K total$2.9K liq
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 Week of August 10 2026?
EconomicsMarkets3d
No92¢
Yes8¢
$408 24h$1.4K total$844 liq
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in August?
EconomicsMarkets
No96¢
Yes4¢
$390 24h$5.0K total$946 liq
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
EconomicsFed & Rates
1.0¢
No81¢
Yes20¢
$386 24h$148K total$5.4K liq
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $745 Week of August 10 2026?
EconomicsMarkets3d
5.0¢
No90¢
Yes10¢
$381 24h$781 total$886 liq
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027?
EconomicsFed & Rates
1.4¢
No97¢
Yes3¢
$370 24h$11.5K total$8.1K liq
Argentina Annual Inflation 2026
EconomicsMacro
30.0-34.9%48¢
25-29.9%48¢
<20%2¢
$350 24h$33.7K total$6.6K liq
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $790 on August 11?
EconomicsMarkets38m
No99¢
Yes1¢
$326 24h$342 total$726 liq
2026 World GDP Growth
EconomicsMacro
3.3%7¢
3.4%5¢
3.6%4¢
$310 24h$10.5K total$2.8K liq
South Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q3 2026?
EconomicsMacro
3.0–3.4%36¢
2.5–2.9%23¢
2.0–2.4%9¢
$284 24h$36.7K total$4.0K liq
Bank of Canada Decision in October?
EconomicsFed & Rates
No Change84¢
25 bps decrease3¢
$275 24h$20.8K total$3.2K liq
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on August 11?
EconomicsMarkets38m
1.6¢
Yes97¢
No3¢
$270 24h$319 total$731 liq
Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2026?
EconomicsMacro
No97¢
Yes3¢
$232 24h$41.9K total$4.1K liq
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $795 on August 11?
EconomicsMarkets38m
No99¢
Yes1¢
$220 24h$386 total$719 liq
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $800 on August 11?
EconomicsMarkets38m
No100¢
Yes1¢
$220 24h$469 total$859 liq
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.5% or lower before 2027?
EconomicsFed & Rates
No96¢
Yes4¢
$203 24h$28.2K total$6.9K liq
Bank of Canada Decision in September?
EconomicsFed & Rates
No Change99¢
25 bps increase1¢
$200 24h$37.2K total$8.1K liq
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?
EconomicsFed & Rates
No97¢
Yes3¢
$188 24h$357K total$11.0K liq
E
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?
EconomicsMacro
0.5¢
Yes52¢
No49¢
$187 24h$13.0K total$1.3K liq
US GDP growth in Q3 2026?
EconomicsMacro
≥3.0%44¢
2.5–3.0%21¢
<0.5%1¢
$185 24h$9.8K total$3.7K liq
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $800 on August 12?
EconomicsMarkets9 PM
49.4¢
No99¢
Yes1¢
$184 24h$184 total$736 liq
Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
EconomicsMacro
0-1.0%71¢
1.0-2.0%25¢
6.0-7.0%0¢
$174 24h$20.7K total$2.8K liq
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?
EconomicsFed & Rates
No97¢
Yes3¢
$171 24h$307K total$12.0K liq
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
EconomicsFed & Rates
1.0¢
No51¢
Yes50¢
$170 24h$413K total$86.9K liq
US recession by end of 2026?
EconomicsMacro
No93¢
Yes8¢
$160 24h$1.70M total$38.4K liq
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 Week of August 10 2026?
EconomicsMarkets3d
1.4¢
No97¢
Yes3¢
$159 24h$1.2K total$1.4K liq
Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by December 31, 2026?
EconomicsFed & Rates
1.0¢
No96¢
Yes5¢
$150 24h$6.8K total$33.9K liq
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?
EconomicsMarkets
No88¢
Yes13¢
$140 24h$36.0K total$1.9K liq
Mexico Annual Inflation 2026
EconomicsMacro
3.50% to 3.99%29¢
4.00% to 4.49%15¢
5.00% to 5.49%7¢
$137 24h$23.8K total$4.9K liq
Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by December 31?
EconomicsMarkets
Yes75¢
No26¢
$130 24h$743 total$490 liq
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 12?
EconomicsMarkets9 PM
2.0¢
Up52¢
Down48¢
$125 24h$125 total$4.4K liq
SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?
EconomicsMarkets
No96¢
Yes4¢
$125 24h$20.7K total$15.8K liq
Jerome Powell federally charged by December 31, 2026?
EconomicsFed & Rates
No97¢
Yes3¢
$123 24h$2.0K total$1.6K liq
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?
EconomicsMacro
1.2¢
No94¢
Yes6¢
$119 24h$9.4K total$997 liq
India Annual Inflation 2026
EconomicsMacro
3.75% to 4.49%15¢
<0.75%5¢
3.00% to 3.74%2¢
$111 24h$59.5K total$5.7K liq
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.75% or lower before 2027?
EconomicsFed & Rates
No97¢
Yes3¢
$111 24h$731 total$9.3K liq
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027?
EconomicsFed & Rates
No95¢
Yes5¢
$101 24h$79.7K total$1.2K liq
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?
EconomicsMarkets
No91¢
Yes10¢
$100 24h$24.7K total$7.7K liq
Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2027?
EconomicsFed & Rates
No90¢
Yes11¢
$100 24h$4.1K total$21.7K liq
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair
EconomicsFed & Rates
Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%94¢
Kevin Warsh & Rate ≤ 2.5%6¢
$96 24h$15.7K total$6.9K liq
How many dissent at the January Fed meeting?
EconomicsFed & Rates
220¢
019¢
$92 24h$1.5K total$7.2K liq
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?
EconomicsFed & Rates
No96¢
Yes4¢
$89 24h$207K total$9.0K liq
How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
EconomicsFed & Rates
324¢
4+23¢
$80 24h$321 total$5.9K liq
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $795 on August 12?
EconomicsMarkets9 PM
48.8¢
No99¢
Yes1¢
$80 24h$80 total$642 liq
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027?
EconomicsFed & Rates
No97¢
Yes3¢
$78 24h$19.1K total$16.4K liq
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 12?
EconomicsMarkets9 PM
5.0¢
Up55¢
Down45¢
$77 24h$77 total$159 liq
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1%?
EconomicsMacro
4.0¢
No81¢
Yes20¢
$73 24h$18.3K total$1.6K liq
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $10,000 on the final trading day of December 2026?
EconomicsMarkets
0.5¢
No51¢
Yes49¢
$72 24h$252 total$7 liq
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?
EconomicsMarkets
4.5¢
No70¢
Yes30¢
$66 24h$20.6K total$2.0K liq
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,500-$7,000 in December?
EconomicsMarkets
2.5¢
No88¢
Yes13¢
$65 24h$4.4K total$896 liq
What will be the next Fed rate change?
EconomicsFed & Rates
7.5¢
Hike71¢
Cut30¢
$53 24h$1.9K total$2.8K liq
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?
EconomicsFed & Rates
No91¢
Yes9¢
$50 24h$80.2K total$7.0K liq
UK Recession in 2026?
EconomicsMacro
1.0¢
No82¢
Yes18¢
$50 24h$8.3K total$332 liq
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $670 in August?
EconomicsMarkets
No99¢
Yes1¢
$50 24h$3.7K total$3.7K liq
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on August 12?
EconomicsMarkets9 PM
46.1¢
Yes96¢
No4¢
$38 24h$38 total$851 liq
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December?
EconomicsMarkets
Yes84¢
No17¢
$37 24h$8.4K total$720 liq
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.0% or lower before 2027?
EconomicsFed & Rates
No97¢
Yes3¢
$34 24h$2.1K total$8.4K liq
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027?
EconomicsFed & Rates
No99¢
Yes2¢
$32 24h$3.7K total$13.5K liq
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on August 12?
EconomicsMarkets9 PM
44.0¢
Yes94¢
No6¢
$30 24h$30 total$809 liq
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?
EconomicsMacro
5.6¢
No68¢
Yes32¢
$30 24h$14.4K total$1.2K liq
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?
EconomicsMarkets
3.6¢
No81¢
Yes19¢
$28 24h$40.8K total$925 liq
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?
EconomicsFed & Rates
No97¢
Yes3¢
$25 24h$105K total$9.2K liq
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,000 on the final trading day of December 2026?
EconomicsMarkets
No52¢
Yes49¢
$23 24h$33 total$2 liq
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?
EconomicsFed & Rates
No97¢
Yes3¢
$23 24h$52.4K total$7.0K liq
US recession by end of 2027?
EconomicsMacro
No78¢
Yes23¢
$22 24h$54 total$12.1K liq
M
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?
EconomicsMacro
No67¢
Yes34¢
$21 24h$2.3K total$2.2K liq
Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?
EconomicsMacro
No54¢
Yes47¢
$21 24h$11.1K total$1.5K liq